BEST MLB HANDICAPPER

MLB park factors · D-backs

Chase Field park factors

Chase Field ranks 2nd of 29 on the three year rolling run index at 106, and 2026 on its own is running 100, a drop of 6 points against that baseline, which is the kind of gap worth watching rather than assuming. The most extreme number here is the triples index at 213, 1st highest in baseball on the three year rolling view.

Updated September 10, 2026 Indices Baseball Savant Venue MLB Stats API
106
Run index
2nd of 29
92
HR index
23rd of 29
89
Strikeout index
28th of 29
103
wOBA index
three year rolling
100
2026 run index
this season alone

Park factor history

Five single seasons and the three year rolling view Baseball Savant shows by default. Reading them side by side is how you tell a park that has changed from a park that had one odd year.

Statcast park factors for Chase Field. 100 is league average. The strikeout column reads from the hitter's side, so a number above 100 means the park suppresses contact.
SeasonwOBARunsHRSO2B3BBB
2026100100938393252100
20251021049092113218100
2024106112929212119498
20239998799810620998
20229896829410889103
Three year rolling103106928911121399

The ballpark itself

At 1,086 feet the park sits well above the 518 foot league average, enough to add carry on a warm night. Home plate points north toward centre field, at 0.0 degrees, which is what turns a wind forecast into a blowing out or blowing in read rather than a guess. The roof is listed as retractable in the MLB venue record, so the run environment changes with the roof call. Playing surface is artificial turf. The average fence sits 380 feet from the plate, 9 feet deeper than the league average, and the average wall is 11.7 feet high.

Measured fence distance and wall height from the Statcast park dimensions record for 2026, with the difference against the 30 park average in the adjacent column. Average wall height here is 11.7 feet against a league average of 9.7, and the average home run at this park travels 392 feet.
LocationDistancevs leagueWallvs league
Left field line329 ft-28.0 ft-1.8
Left centre gap389 ft+97.3 ft-2.7
Centre field406 ft+524.5 ft+15.8
Right centre gap389 ft+106.9 ft-2.2
Right field line334 ft+78.3 ft-2.8

Where it ranks

Where this ballpark sits against the other 29 on every published index, three year rolling. Rank 1 is the highest number in baseball on that index, which for strikeouts means the most pitcher friendly.
IndexValueRankvs average
Runs1062nd of 29+6
Home runs9223rd of 29-8
Strikeouts8928th of 29-11
wOBA1032nd of 29+3
Hits1052nd of 29+5
Singles1036th of 29+3
Doubles1116th of 29+11
Triples2131st of 29+113
Walks9914th of 29-1
Hard hit rate1025th of 29+2

Splits that move a number

Three year rolling index split by batter handedness.
SplitRunsHRwOBASO
Right handed batters11210410689
Left handed batters1007810090
Three year rolling index split by start time.
SplitRunsHRwOBASO
Day games1027710194
Night games1089810487
Three year rolling index split by roof state. This park is effectively two ballparks and the roof call is usually made a few hours before first pitch.
SplitRunsHRwOBA
Roof open10694103
Roof closed10691103

Scoring at this ballpark in 2026

The index numbers above are league adjusted and cover three seasons. This is the raw scoring that actually happened here this year, which is the sanity check on all of it.

70
Games played here
2026 regular season
8.67
Runs per game
League average 8.94
24
Highest scoring game
Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks, 2026-06-20
1
Lowest scoring game
Detroit Tigers at Arizona Diamondbacks, 2026-04-01
47%
Games above league average
33 of 70
40-30
Home team record here
2026 regular season
Runs per game at this ballpark by month, against the league average of 8.94 for the same period. Small samples early and late, so read the direction rather than the decimal.
MonthGamesRuns/gmvs league
March213.50+4.56
April119.64+0.70
May136.69-2.25
June159.47+0.53
July1010.30+1.36
August177.82-1.12
September24.50-4.44
The last ten completed games at this ballpark.
DateMatchupFinalTotalStart
2026-09-02Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks0–11Day
2026-09-01Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks7–18Night
2026-08-31Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks2–13Night
2026-08-26Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks0–22Day
2026-08-25Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks4–59Night
2026-08-24Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks7–07Night
2026-08-23Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks3–58Day
2026-08-22Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks11–516Night
2026-08-21Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks0–99Night
2026-08-12Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks6–410Day

What it means for a bet

Totals

The park adds runs, so the posted total already reflects it. The edge is not in backing overs blind, it is in the days the market treats this park as generic: a cold night, a closed roof, or a pitching matchup that moves the number further than the park justifies.

Home run props

Scoring runs ahead of home runs by 14 points, so the runs come from balls in play rather than over the fence. Fade home run props, look at hits and total bases instead.

Strikeout props

At 89 the park costs pitchers strikeouts. Unders on strikeout props and a slightly lower expectation on the starter's line are the natural reads.

Handedness

The home run index favours right handed hitters by 26 points (104 against 78). When a lineup is stacked the other way, the park is doing less for them than the headline number suggests.

Time of day

Day games run 6 points lower on the run index than night games (102 against 108), which is a real split and not one most totals models carry.

Roof

With the roof open the run index is 106, closed it is 106, a 0 point swing. The roof decision is public before first pitch and the total does not always move with it.

Every index on this page is a three year rolling figure unless the column says otherwise, and all of it is league relative: 100 is average, not neutral in an absolute sense. Park factors describe the venue, not tonight's pitching matchup, and they are the starting point of a number rather than the whole of it.

Keep going