Brewers ML -139 vs Padres at American Family Field
Harrison gives Milwaukee the cleaner run prevention path in a May 14 moneyline spot.
Brewers ML -139May 14
2026 SEASON ANALYSIS
Spring Training is here. Expert breakdowns of every major move, matchup, and market edge heading into the 2026 season.
Tigers Team Total Under 3.5 at Mets
McLean and Citi Field create a low Detroit run path in the May 14 matchup.
Under 3.5Citi Field
Cubs Team Total Under 3.5 at Braves
Sale anchors the Braves run prevention case against Chicago at Truist Park.
Under 3.5Truist Park
Braves First 5 Innings ML vs Cubs
Sale gives Atlanta the early-game edge in a first-five innings position.
Braves F5 MLMay 14
Dodgers Team Total Under 4.5 vs Giants
Roupp keeps the Giants live in Los Angeles by holding the Dodgers run path below market expectation.
Under 4.5Dodger Stadium
Cubs/Braves Under 9: Imanaga and Ritchie Shape a Truist Park Total
The Cubs/Braves Under 9 pick belongs as a standard article card and archive item, not a raw block above the hero.
Under 93 Units
Sharp Money
Orioles Team Total Under 4.5 vs Athletics at Camden Yards
Severino's road contact shape, Baltimore's current lineup depth, and a fair -110 price point make the under the sharp side.
Read Full Analysis
Pick of the Day: Rockies Runline +1.5 vs Mets at Coors Field
Sharp money is on the home runline at altitude. Coors Field's run environment widens the variance band on every game-state outcome, Jose Quintana's strike-throwing left-handed profile delivers manageable run-distribution innings, Christian Scott carries real back-end Mets rotation risk, and the Mets road bullpen exposure in Denver keeps the late innings inside a one-run state. Implied 55.56 percent at -125, model has Rockies cover at 60 to 65.
Rockies +1.5 -125
Coors Field Variance
1 Unit
Pick of the Day: Mets Moneyline -137 vs Rockies at Coors Field
Sharp money is on the road favorite at altitude. Mets are 3-0 in their last 3, Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5, Christian Scott's strikeout-first profile travels to Coors Field better than the contact starters the venue punishes, and the snow-rescheduled day-game spot quietly favors the visitor. Implied 57.81 percent at -137, model has Mets in the 63 to 66 zone.
Mets ML -137
Snow-Reschedule Visitor Spot
2 Units
Pick of the Day: Mariners Team Total Under 4.5 -145 vs Braves at T-Mobile Park
Sharp money is on the under at T-Mobile. Seattle is hitting .227 with 150 runs scored, Martin Perez is a left-handed strike-thrower built to exploit a press-and-chase pattern, and the cool May evening compresses the run environment. Implied 59.18 percent at -145, model has Mariners under in the 64 to 67 zone.
Mariners TT U4.5 -145
Strike-Thrower Spot
3 Units
Pick of the Day: Giants Moneyline -126 vs Padres at Oracle Park
Sharp money is on the home favorite. Logan Webb's career home ERA at Oracle Park sits well below his 5.10 surface number, Walker Buehler is in his Padres adjustment year, and the marine layer flattens San Diego's right-handed pull-side power. Implied 55.75 percent at -126, model has Giants 60 to 62.
Giants ML -126
Home Favorite Spot
3 Units
Pick of the Day: Cardinals Team Total Over 3.5 -140 vs Brewers at Busch Stadium
Sharp money is on the home stick at Busch. Chad Patrick's FIP sits well above his surface ERA, the regression spot is here, and the 1-Atlas residual model lands the Cardinals at 5.06 projected runs versus the 3.5 line. Implied 58.3 percent at -140, model has Cards above 67.
Cardinals TT O3.5 -140
FIP Regression Spot
3 Units
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